, Chief Investment Officer at Arbion, notes that geopolitical headlines, including Trump-era rhetoric, have had only short-lived market effects, with fundamentals, earnings revisions and valuations driving longer-term trends. US EPS growth is projected at ~14% in 2025–26, while sector rotation favors industrials, materials, healthcare, and staples over mega-cap tech. Despite a supportive near-Goldilocks environment, stretched sentiment and election-year dynamics suggest a near-term pause, prompting continued tail-risk protection in H1.

Arbion Observations, Can tacos defy gravity? - January 2026

In the latest Halftime edition of Observations, Arbion’s Chief Investment Officer, 

, examines whether UK government bonds represent a generational buying opportunity. With 30-year yields reaching their highest levels since 1998, political uncertainty weighing on sentiment, and global growth forecasts softening, the analysis highlights how today’s market nervousness may be overstated — and why measured ultra-long duration exposure could offer investors an attractive risk/reward profile.

Arbion Observations, Are UK government bonds a generational buying opportunity? - September 2025

Despite a turbulent global backdrop of geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and rising bond yields, equity markets have continued their strong performance in 2025. In his latest 

 explores the paradox of bullish momentum versus bearish risks, highlighting robust earnings, supportive rate cuts, and selective opportunities across regions and asset classes. With markets “climbing the wall of worries,” Arbion remains positively positioned while keeping prudent hedges in place.

Arbion Viewpoints from the CIO - September 2025

 edition of Observations, Arbion’s Chief Investment Officer, 

, reflects on the first half of 2025, highlighting how markets have largely shrugged off headline-driven volatility to deliver strong gains. World equities rose over 9%, led by standout performances in cyclical economies like South Korea and Germany. A sharp rally from April to June propelled indices such as the NASDAQ and MSCI World to new all-time highs, despite ongoing macro jitters and softening global growth forecasts.

While earnings expectations are moderating and the dollar has seen its weakest start to the year since 1973, Pabst cautions that both US equities and the USD appear stretched in opposite directions, suggesting a tactical opportunity to hedge risk assets over the quieter summer months. Amid a backdrop of monetary policy divergence and extended safe-haven trades in gold and Bitcoin, Arbion’s view remains constructive but tactically measured.
