The Market Impact of the Trump Administration

, discusses some intriguing observations about the potential market impact post election

Arbion CIO Observations - November 2024

, provides Arbion's Investment Viewpoints for September 2024 - 'The time has come'

▪ The US 10-2yr yield curve has un-inverted after a record-long stretch in negative territory.


▪ The rate cut cycle has started in earnest with substantial expectations for lower rates over the next 18 months.


▪ Inflation is dead for now, but growth is also slowing down, lending support to a soft-landing scenario.


▪ Such an outcome could be bullish for equity markets over the medium term.


▪ With rates being cut and inflation unlikely to raise its head, bonds are still attractive for their yield but also as a hedge.

Arbion Viewpoints from the CIO - September 2024

President Macron's snap election announcement has surprised markets, leading to some financial turmoil within the French markets. The election holds significant implications for France's debt and political landscape, especially with the potential rise of the far-right Rassemblement National posing a strategic gamble for Macron ahead of the 2027 Presidential elections.

, discusses the broader impacts of current economic events. Read the full article 

Arbion Observations, Mon Dieu, le Spread! - June 2024

, provides Arbion's Investment Viewpoints for April 2024 - 'Welcome to the Stickylocks economy'

▪ Equities, commodities, and other real assets have rebounded strongly, indicating a reflationary environment.


▪ Sticky inflation is trending higher and inflation expectations have risen substantially as a result.


▪ Consistent with that, benchmark yields have been increasing and forecasts for rate cuts have been reduced significantly.


▪ The US is currently the only economy exhibiting growth momentum which is reflected in elevated market valuations.


▪ After a better-than-expected first quarter, equity markets are expected to take a breather and consolidate their gains.

Arbion CIO Observations - November 2024

The Market Impact of the Trump Administration

Our CIO, Marco Pabst, discusses some intriguing observations about the potential market impact post election

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